A 100-meter asteroid, 2024 YR4, threatens Ireland. David Moore warns of potential earthquakes and tsunamis if it hits in 2032.
David Moore warned about this asteroid, which is 100 meters wide, calling it a “country killer.” It is named 2024 YR4.
The asteroid might hit in 2032, making space agencies consider it a top threat. Its size is like the Statue of Liberty.
Another asteroid, Apophis, was once a bigger concern. Scientists lowered Apophis’ risk rating later on, determining that it will not hit Earth for a century.
YR4’s danger is more immediate. Global defense plans started because of it, including two UN-backed response groups.
Moore founded Astronomy Ireland in 1990. He says we aren’t ready for an impact, which could cause a huge explosion.
He says we must “nudge” the asteroid. This would change its path to miss Ireland, but we have only eight years.
Moore stressed the danger is real. Close asteroid encounters remind us of the risks, as impacts can cause big disasters.
A 100-meter asteroid matters a lot. It has a small chance, 1.3%, to hit Earth, possibly in 2032.
YR4 hitting Earth would be powerful, potentially 100 times stronger than WWII bombs, which had 15,000 tons of TNT.
It would be a huge explosion. Asteroids over 1km end humankind, while a 150m asteroid is a “continent killer.”
A 100m asteroid like YR4 kills countries. Ireland would be gone if it hit, also big earthquakes could occur and tsunamis could be kilometers high.
Dinosaurs died from an asteroid, lacking rock-tracking technology. We have this technology now.
We can nudge the asteroid slightly. A rocket could attach to it, and even a small hit can change its orbit.
Moving it a little now helps. If it misses by thousands of kilometers, Earth is safe.
Moore says we lack nudge-rockets. Some experiments occurred, but we are not prepared now. A 100m asteroid wouldn’t burn up; it would cause a megaton explosion.
Colin Snodgrass studies planets. He thinks it likely will pass safely, but we should watch it with telescopes closely.
More orbit data improves trajectory predictions.